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← Explore · Market 789410

Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

0.3% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.3¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.3¢ / 0.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$549
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$103 / $73
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 287376358345201.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-287376358345201.75
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 86d 21h.

Time to resolve86d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth