← Explore · Market 789952
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
25.5% implied · bid 25.0¢ · ask 26.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid25.0¢ / 26.0¢ / 25.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-8.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,295
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,709 / $547
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.39
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.41pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 22h.
Time to resolve25d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%