← Explore · Market 789954
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
3.5% implied · bid 3.4¢ · ask 3.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.5%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability3.5%
Bid / ask / mid3.4¢ / 3.5¢ / 3.5¢
Spread0.1¢ (2.9%)
Change 24h-0.45pt
Change 7d-4.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6,068
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$957 / $856
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 26 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.61
RSI (14, hourly)26.3
Realized vol 7d0.32pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 22h.
Time to resolve25d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%