← Explore · Market 789957
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
57.5% implied · bid 57.0¢ · ask 58.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 58.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability58.0%
Bid / ask / mid57.0¢ / 58.0¢ / 57.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+17.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,713
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,075 / $3,173
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.39
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.72pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 22h.
Time to resolve25d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%