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Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

96.4% implied · bid 96.1¢ · ask 96.7¢

The market prices this at 96.7%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability96.7%

Bid / ask / mid96.1¢ / 96.7¢ / 96.4¢

Spread0.6¢ (0.6%)

Change 24h-0.20pt

Change 7d+0.25pt

Deep and tight (score 89/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 44% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$497

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20,449 / $64,216

Imbalance44% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score89.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.14

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 64d 21h.

Time to resolve64d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%