← Explore · Market 811720

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

2.7% implied · bid 2.4¢ · ask 3.0¢

The market prices this at 2.4%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability2.4%

Bid / ask / mid2.4¢ / 3.0¢ / 2.7¢

Spread0.6¢ (22.2%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d-0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$520

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$401 / $290

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.64

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.05pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 64d 21h.

Time to resolve64d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%