← Explore · Market 811721

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

0.4% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.7¢

The market prices this at 0.6%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.4¢

Spread0.5¢ (111.1%)

Change 24h+0.20pt

Change 7d+0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,272

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$73 / $158

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.6 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.06

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 64d 21h.

Time to resolve64d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%