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← Explore · Market 825091

Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

23.0% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 24.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 24.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 24.0¢ / 23.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,640
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,368 / $8,008
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 56 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.22
RSI (14, hourly)55.6
Realized vol 7d0.56pt
Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth