← Explore · Market 825094

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

77.5% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 78.0¢

The market prices this at 78.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability78.0%

Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 78.0¢ / 77.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)

Change 24h-1.50pt

Change 7d+9.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 68/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 26% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,936

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,896 / $28,181

Imbalance26% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score67.5 / 100

RSI 41 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.92

RSI (14, hourly)41.1

Realized vol 7d0.69pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%