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← Explore · Market 825856

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

0.1% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.1¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.1%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.1¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h-1.35pt
Change 7d-0.75pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$21,982
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $199
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score49.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 23 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-3.70
RSI (14, hourly)23.3
Realized vol 7d0.22pt
Change 1h-0.10pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth