← Explore · Market 825858
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
100.0% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.5%, up 1.7pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability99.5%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 100.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+1.65pt
Change 7d+0.55pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$1,445
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,266 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score57.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 87 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.81
RSI (14, hourly)87.5
Realized vol 7d0.30pt
Change 1h+0.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%