← Explore · Market 840929
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83.5% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 84.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 84.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability84.0%
Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 84.0¢ / 83.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d+20.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$93,545
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$83,149 / $5,399,632
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)9
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 87 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.93
RSI (14, hourly)87.5
Realized vol 7d0.92pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%