← Explore · Market 840931
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 18.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-10.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$45,807
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$844,202 / $29,246
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.17
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.15pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%