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← Explore · Market 898416

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

13.8% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.6¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 14.6%, down 0.6pt over 24h, on a 1.6¢ spread.

Implied probability14.6%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.6¢ / 13.8¢
Spread1.6¢ (11.6%)
Change 24h-0.65pt
Change 7d+5.30pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,249
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,359 / $10,437
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 19 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.10
RSI (14, hourly)19.0
Realized vol 7d0.90pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 148d 22h.

Time to resolve148d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth