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← Explore · Market 898416

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

6.5% implied · bid 6.3¢ · ask 6.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.3%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability6.3%
Bid / ask / mid6.3¢ / 6.7¢ / 6.5¢
Spread0.4¢ (6.2%)
Change 24h-0.40pt
Change 7d-3.65pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,001
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,362 / $2,745
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 74 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.76
RSI (14, hourly)73.7
Realized vol 7d0.24pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 102d 22h.

Time to resolve102d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth