← Explore · Market 898654
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
79.0% implied · bid 78.0¢ · ask 80.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 79.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability79.0%
Bid / ask / mid78.0¢ / 80.0¢ / 79.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d+9.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 47% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$483
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$629 / $251
Imbalance47% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.24
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.62pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 85d 21h.
Time to resolve85d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%