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← Explore · Market 904737

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

37.5% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 38.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 37.0%, up 5.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability37.0%
Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 38.0¢ / 37.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.7%)
Change 24h+5.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$587
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$206 / $120
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.56
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.45pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 3h.

Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth