← Explore · Market 904737
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
47.5% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 48.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 47.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability47.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 47.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$33
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,880 / $4,081
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.62
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.89pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 175d 2h.
Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%