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← Explore · Market 906867

Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?

93.7% implied · bid 93.6¢ · ask 93.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 93.8%, up 3.8pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability93.8%
Bid / ask / mid93.6¢ / 93.8¢ / 93.7¢
Spread0.2¢ (0.2%)
Change 24h+3.75pt
Change 7d+4.60pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 72/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 39% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10,139
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,407 / $32,707
Imbalance39% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score71.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.92
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 13d 22h.

Time to resolve13d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth