← Explore · Market 906868

Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?

5.1% implied · bid 4.5¢ · ask 5.7¢

The market prices this at 4.3%, down 2.8pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability4.3%

Bid / ask / mid4.5¢ / 5.7¢ / 5.1¢

Spread1.2¢ (23.5%)

Change 24h-2.80pt

Change 7d+3.25pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,401

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$218 / $597

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score44.4 / 100

RSI 17 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.76

RSI (14, hourly)16.7

Realized vol 7d0.49pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 13d 22h.

Time to resolve13d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%