← Explore · Market 908713
Fed rate hike in 2026?
50.5% implied · bid 50.0¢ · ask 51.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 51.0%, down 9.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability51.0%
Bid / ask / mid50.0¢ / 51.0¢ / 50.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.0%)
Change 24h-9.00pt
Change 7d+3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 75/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$60,795
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$40,887 / $18,655
Imbalance23% bid
Large trades (>$1k)6
Liquidity score74.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.32
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.68pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 151d 21h.
Time to resolve151d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%