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← Explore · Market 920401

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

89.5% implied · bid 89.0¢ · ask 90.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 89.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability89.0%
Bid / ask / mid89.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 89.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+8.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 56% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$2,794
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,674 / $3,918
Imbalance56% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.60
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.66pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth