← Explore · Market 943396

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

92.6% implied · bid 91.4¢ · ask 93.8¢

The market prices this at 91.4%, down 1.6pt over 24h, on a 2.4¢ spread.

Implied probability91.4%

Bid / ask / mid91.4¢ / 93.8¢ / 92.6¢

Spread2.4¢ (2.6%)

Change 24h-1.65pt

Change 7d-2.60pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 60% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$2,839

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,505 / $10,062

Imbalance60% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score43.8 / 100

RSI 41 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.41

RSI (14, hourly)41.1

Realized vol 7d0.43pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%