← Explore · Market 943398

Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

7.8% implied · bid 6.5¢ · ask 9.0¢

The market prices this at 6.1%, up 1.7pt over 24h, on a 2.5¢ spread.

Implied probability6.1%

Bid / ask / mid6.5¢ / 9.0¢ / 7.8¢

Spread2.5¢ (32.3%)

Change 24h+1.75pt

Change 7d+3.20pt

Thin (score 38/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,505

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$206 / $88

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score37.6 / 100

RSI 59 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.41

RSI (14, hourly)58.9

Realized vol 7d0.32pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%