← Explore · Market 997488

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4.5% implied · bid 4.4¢ · ask 4.5¢

The market prices this at 4.5%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability4.5%

Bid / ask / mid4.4¢ / 4.5¢ / 4.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (2.2%)

Change 24h-0.20pt

Change 7d-0.95pt

Moderately liquid (score 59/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$60,767

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,774 / $11,613

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score58.7 / 100

RSI 44 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.19

RSI (14, hourly)44.4

Realized vol 7d0.07pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%