← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-MZ

Will Mark Zuckerberg be the world's second trillionaire?

17.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 18.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 18.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability18.0%

Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (5.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$38 / $39

Imbalance7% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.91

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.41pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2247d 1h.

Time to resolve2247d 1h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Rules risklow (15)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

⚠ Single source

Settlement sources

Forbes

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Forbes reports that Mark Zuckerberg has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Not published.