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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-33FEB01-T0.0

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2032 be above 0.0%?

95.0% implied · bid 91.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 79.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability79.0%
Bid / ask / mid91.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 95.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (8.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+10.50pt
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 99% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$91 / $1
Imbalance99% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 65 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-3.10
RSI (14, hourly)65.3
Realized vol 7d5.23pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2284d 17h.

Time to resolve2284d 17h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

⚠ Single source
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 169.5h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2032 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

The initially reported value for December 2032 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2032, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.