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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-35FEB01-T0.0

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2034 be above 0.0%?

95.0% implied · bid 91.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability98.0%
Bid / ask / mid91.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 95.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (8.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+44.50pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 99% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$91 / $1
Imbalance99% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 68 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.70
RSI (14, hourly)68.1
Realized vol 7d18.57pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3014d 17h.

Time to resolve3014d 17h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

⚠ Single source
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 169.5h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2034 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

The initially reported value for December 2034 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2034, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.