← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1357385
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.6%, up 1.4pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability10.6%
Bid / ask / mid10.6¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.8¢
Spread0.4¢ (3.7%)
Change 24h+1.45pt
Change 7d+4.25pt
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,436
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,863 / $7,270
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score54.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.96
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 144d 14h.
Time to resolve144d 14h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (20)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.