← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1571987
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.6%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.
Implied probability99.6%
Bid / ask / mid98.5¢ / 99.6¢ / 99.1¢
Spread1.1¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d-0.35pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 67% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$6
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,252 / $1,935
Imbalance67% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.66
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 235d 14h.
Time to resolve235d 14h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskhigh (70)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.