← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2831105
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 15.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (26.7%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$218
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$121 / $30
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 62 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.25
RSI (14, hourly)61.7
Realized vol 7d1.38pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 54d 15h.
Time to resolve54d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (0)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.