← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4397033

Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?

24.1% implied · bid 24.1¢ · ask 24.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 24.2%, down 0.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability24.2%

Bid / ask / mid24.1¢ / 24.2¢ / 24.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h-0.55pt

Change 7d+18.65pt

Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 49% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$52,609

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$151,851 / $105,637

Imbalance49% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 51 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.66

RSI (14, hourly)50.6

Realized vol 7d1.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 21d 16h.

Time to resolve21d 16h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules risklow (20)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.