← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4662016
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 24.2%, up 4.1pt over 24h, on a 1.6¢ spread.
Implied probability24.2%
Bid / ask / mid22.9¢ / 24.5¢ / 23.7¢
Spread1.6¢ (6.8%)
Change 24h+4.15pt
Change 7d-14.45pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,138
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$157 / $243
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.32
RSI (14, hourly)25.5
Realized vol 7d2.59pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 419d 15h.
Time to resolve419d 15h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules riskhigh (85)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.