← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4664813
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 53.0%, down 8.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability53.0%
Bid / ask / mid58.0¢ / 62.0¢ / 60.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (6.7%)
Change 24h-8.00pt
Change 7d+11.50pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,083
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$296 / $95
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 92 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.63
RSI (14, hourly)92.0
Realized vol 7d2.84pt
Change 1h+6.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 23d 15h.
Time to resolve23d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.