← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4960175
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 86.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability86.0%
Bid / ask / mid82.0¢ / 86.0¢ / 84.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (4.8%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7d-3.50pt
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 44% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$10,221
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$93 / $854
Imbalance44% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 24 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.51
RSI (14, hourly)23.5
Realized vol 7d0.85pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 54d 15h.
Time to resolve54d 15h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules riskmedium (25)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.