← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5166853
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.75 on November 30, 2026?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.0%, up 9.5pt over 24h, on a 48.0¢ spread.
Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 42.0¢
Spread48.0¢ (114.3%)
Change 24h+9.50pt
Change 7d+16.50pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 55 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.22
RSI (14, hourly)54.8
Realized vol 7d1.94pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 23d 15h.
Time to resolve23d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (0)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.