← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5361550
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability96.0%
Bid / ask / mid95.0¢ / 96.0¢ / 95.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7d+23.00pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 54% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$2,109
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,061 / $4,412
Imbalance54% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.38
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.87pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 31d 10h.
Time to resolve31d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.