← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5673503
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 53.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability53.0%
Bid / ask / mid53.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 54.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.7%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 20% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,024
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$589 / $758
Imbalance20% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.62
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d3.78pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 37d 9h.
Time to resolve37d 9h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.