← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5727014
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 44.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 49.0¢ / 47.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (6.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+19.50pt
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,841
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$227 / $1,071
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 87 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.64
RSI (14, hourly)87.5
Realized vol 7d1.89pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 40d 10h.
Time to resolve40d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.