← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5765625
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 30.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 30.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (9.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-18.00pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$511
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$143 / $64
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.19
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.16pt
Change 1h-4.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 15h.
Time to resolve6d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (0)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.