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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5975366

Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 30.5

95.7% implied · bid 93.4¢ · ask 97.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 95.7%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 4.5¢ spread.

Implied probability95.7%
Bid / ask / mid93.4¢ / 97.9¢ / 95.7¢
Spread4.5¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d+45.65pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 29/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 59% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$280 / $2,077
Imbalance59% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score28.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 68 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.70
RSI (14, hourly)67.6
Realized vol 7d2.41pt
Change 1h+0.55pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 4h.

Time to resolve1d 4h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.