← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6171201

Will Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

30.5% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 31.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 30.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability30.0%

Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 30.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.3%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+1.00pt

Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 88/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$121,858

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$37,742 / $47,844

Imbalance12% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score87.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 19.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean19.01

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.08pt

Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules riskmedium (50)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.