← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6171465

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?

78.5% implied · bid 78.0¢ · ask 79.0¢

☆ Log in to track ☆ Log in to set an alert

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 79.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability79.0%

Bid / ask / mid78.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 78.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)

Change 24h+4.00pt

Change 7d+9.50pt

Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 30% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$72,062

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$113,066 / $191,662

Imbalance30% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.30

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.35pt

Change 1h+2.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules riskmedium (50)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.