← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6175517
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.9%, up 21.5pt over 24h, on a 1.9¢ spread.
Implied probability95.9%
Bid / ask / mid95.2¢ / 97.1¢ / 96.2¢
Spread1.9¢ (2.0%)
Change 24h+21.50pt
Change 7d+46.15pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 66% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$521
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,064 / $2,710
Imbalance66% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 44 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.37
RSI (14, hourly)44.4
Realized vol 7d5.37pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 6h.
Time to resolve0d 6h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.