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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6175548

AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5

97.4% implied · bid 97.2¢ · ask 97.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 97.7%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability97.7%
Bid / ask / mid97.2¢ / 97.5¢ / 97.4¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h-0.35pt
Change 7d+45.85pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 43% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,343
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,574 / $16,631
Imbalance43% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score61.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 39 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.69
RSI (14, hourly)39.1
Realized vol 7d2.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 6h.

Time to resolve0d 6h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.