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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6175612

AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: AS Roma O/U 0.5

93.5% implied · bid 93.0¢ · ask 94.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 95.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability95.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 93.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+41.50pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$105
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,230 / $4,216
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.45
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d3.10pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 5h.

Time to resolve0d 5h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.