← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6175949
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 65.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid64.0¢ / 65.0¢ / 64.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$69,374
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$108,659 / $322,504
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.19
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.38pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 1h.
Time to resolve0d 1h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.