← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6175986
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 94.9%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability94.9%
Bid / ask / mid94.5¢ / 94.9¢ / 94.7¢
Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h+0.35pt
Change 7d+19.70pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 82/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,668
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,357 / $57,965
Imbalance28% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score82.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 88 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.90
RSI (14, hourly)87.5
Realized vol 7d2.85pt
Change 1h-0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 2h.
Time to resolve0d 2h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.