← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6176046
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 83.5%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability83.5%
Bid / ask / mid80.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 83.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (8.4%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+32.00pt
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 16/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$160 / $1,701
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 47 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.75
RSI (14, hourly)46.7
Realized vol 7d1.55pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 2h.
Time to resolve0d 2h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.