← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6176100
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 93.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability93.0%
Bid / ask / mid92.0¢ / 93.0¢ / 92.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,212
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$72,594 / $97,959
Imbalance28% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.93
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.25pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 1h.
Time to resolve0d 1h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.