← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6176120

Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5

64.5% implied · bid 64.0¢ · ask 65.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 69.0%, down 6.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability69.0%

Bid / ask / mid64.0¢ / 65.0¢ / 64.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)

Change 24h-6.50pt

Change 7d-7.50pt

Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 80/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 19% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$23,614

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$39,753 / $30,832

Imbalance19% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score80.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 24 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 6.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-6.52

RSI (14, hourly)24.0

Realized vol 7d0.66pt

Change 1h-8.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules riskmedium (50)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.