← Explore · Polymarket · Market 6176124
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 31.0%, down 17.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 30.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (9.8%)
Change 24h-17.00pt
Change 7d-18.00pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$311,503
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,688 / $32
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 10 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 12.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-11.96
RSI (14, hourly)9.5
Realized vol 7d1.45pt
Change 1h-18.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.